· The Internet
Economy:
A 68 Percent Increase from Q1 1998 to Q1
1999
The Internet Economy grew 68 percent from the
first quarter of 1998 to the first quarter of 1999
and is projected to reach $507 billion this
year.
Growth was strong in all layers of the economy,
but E-commerce exploded, increasing 127 percent
from Q1 1998 to Q1 1999. In Q1 1998, E-commerce
accounted for 25.8 percent of Internet revenues.
That figure jumped to 34.8 percent in Q1 1999 as
companies leveraged investment in infrastructure to
expand E-commerce.
Internet Economy
Indicators
Revenue and Growth Summary by Layer
and
Total Internet Economy
(in billions)
|
|
Q1 1998
|
Q1 1999
|
Growth
|
Layer 1 - Infrastructure Indicator
|
$26.795
|
$40.139
|
50%
|
Layer 2 - Application Indicator
|
$13.925
|
$22.487
|
61%
|
Layer 3 - Intermediary Indicator
|
$10.992
|
$16.666
|
52%
|
Layer 4 - Internet Commerce
Indicator
|
$16.508
|
$37.540
|
127%
|
Source: Center for Research in
Electronic Commerce, Graduate School of
Business,
University of Texas at Austin, ©
1999
· E-Commerce is Fueling Major
Growth in Internet-related Jobs
The number of Internet-related jobs increased
from 1.6 million in Q1 1998 to 2.3 million in Q1
1999 as new companies were created and others
shifted employees to new assignments to take
advantage of the opportunities of the Internet
Economy.
Nearly 400,000 E-commerce jobs alone were
added in the last year, a 78 percent increase
from Q1 1998. That tremendous growth dwarfed other
layers. Infrastructure jobs increased by 184,000,
or 39 percent. Application layer jobs increased
156,000, or 38 percent, and Intermediary job growth
was 89,000, or 25 percent.
Internet Economy
Indicators
Employees and Growth Summary by Layer
and
Total Internet Economy
|
|
Q1 1998
|
Q1 1999
|
Growth
|
Layer 1 - Infrastructure Indicator
|
472,617
|
656,551
|
39%
|
Layer 2 - Application Indicator
|
407,858
|
563,124
|
38%
|
Layer 3 - Intermediary Indicator
|
355,358
|
444,302
|
25%
|
Layer 4 - Internet Commerce
Indicator
|
506,693
|
900,882
|
78%
|
The Internet Economy
(After removing
overlap)
|
1,572,999
|
2,301,707
|
46%
|
Source: Center for Research in
Electronic Commerce, Graduate School of
Business,
University of Texas at Austin, ©
1999
· One in Three of the Internet
Economy Companies Didn't Exist Before 1996
The Internet has unleashed a new entrepreneurial
force in the United States that has led to
remarkable company growth and job creation. For
example, one in three of the 3,400 companies
surveyed for this report did not even exist prior
to 1996.
These companies created in 1996 or later
employ 305,000 employees - an excellent
indicator of the Internets impact on job
growth in the United States.
In addition, 2,000 new secure Web sites are
added each month, reflecting the number of
businesses flocking to the Internet or expanding
their online presence.
· The Internet Economy Has a
Major Impact on U.S. Economic
Growth
U.S. GDP is projected to grow $340 billion in
1999. The projected $200 billion growth in Internet
Economy in 1999 plays a significant role in the
health of the economy, although differences between
GDP and revenues make a precise comparison
difficult.
While a significant portion of the initial
growth in the Internet Economy could be attributed
to a substitution effect whereby economic
activities conducted in the physical or
non-Internet world are now being transferred to the
Internet, the projected $200 billion growth in 1999
clearly has a major impact on U.S. GDP.
· The Internet is Adding to the
Corporate Revenue Pie
The portion of revenues derived from the
Internet jumped from 10 percent in Q1 1998 to 14
percent in Q1 1999. In addition, the portion of
jobs directly connected to the Internet jumped from
7 percent in Q1 1998 to 9 percent in the first
quarter of 1999.
Revenues increased faster than employees,
suggesting productivity gains derived from the
Internet. In fact, the analysis of revenue per
employee in Internet-related companies found a 15
percent increase from Q1 1998 to Q1 1999.
Source: Center for Research in
Electronic Commerce, Graduate School of Business,
University of Texas at Austin, ©
1999
· The Big Fish Don't Rule the
Pond
The Internet has proven to be strikingly similar
to the rest of the economy in the relationship
between corporate players and smaller
mom-and-pop companies. The top ten
companies in the study only account for 27 percent
of all the Internet revenue.
That indicates that just like the rest of the
economy, major corporations are important but the
bulk of the economic growth and job creation is
driven by small businesses.
In addition, smaller companies (outside the top
350) are more focused on sales to consumers this
year than they were in Q1 1998. According to the
data, 60 percent of sales were to consumers in the
first quarter of 1999, compared to 45 percent last
year.
· Investors Value
Internet-related Companies
While the Wall Street mania over .com companies
has reached epic proportions, research shows that
investors strongly favor Internet-related companies
and reward them with their investment dollars. The
294 companies doing the most business on the
Internet have an average market capitalization of
$18 billion. That is 30 times the $600
million average market cap for the 5068 total
companies on NASDAQ.
What this suggests is that companies not
connected to the Internet are perceived
by investors as behind the market curve and are not
ready to leverage the New Economy.
· The Internet Economy Now
Exceeds Century-old Traditional
Industries
In the last year, the Internet Economy has
zoomed past century-old industries such as
telecommunications ($300 billion) and airlines
($355 billion) in size and is now approaching the
publishing ($750 billion) and health-care industry
($1 trillion).
For example, if the Internet Economy were to
grow at just half its current rate (68 percent) for
the next three years, it would generate $1.2
trillion in revenues in 2002.
|